Category Archives: 脱神专栏

SPX 在调整了13周之后，可能的三条路径，其实是四条：#1大牛 #2大熊 #3a小牛 #3b小熊

BTCUSD 前次走得那么平稳还是在6600的时候，那时候是这样子走的

BTCUSD技术图

SPX 今天上冲2018年开盘的2683.73失败。明天的牛熊分界区间是2652.45-2665.08，上面不过2683.73，下面不过2635.65。

SPY The AMZN rally caused SPY to rally just over the 3 PMish high for the day @ 267.42 but pulled back to 266.91. In other words AMZN had a somewhat limited effect there.

SPX levels

QQQ One thing I have noticed over the years is, the more obvious the pattern, the more likely it is to fail… not a market call but a reality check for head and shoulders enthusiasts, turn that frown upside down?

TRAN close down below 50 day moving average

BTCUSD resistances and levels

ABAX long over 75

GRUB bullish stochastic divergence at the break out point of a symmetrical triangle. Long over 100.61

VEEV long after 72.19

TSLA 284 is not just 38.2% retrace level but also cloud bottom on weekly. FINALLY seen a huge bullish engulfing candle on today today. see if it can take over 61.8% 295.7 quick, then 308. key resist above: 317 321 331 342 347

TWLO on watch for a break

GLUU long setup

SPX 今天的低点离200天均线在4美元以内。200天均线今天提高到2608.99，昨天是2607.93. 今天算是牛牛小小胜。站上2635，本次涨幅的一半。如果向上再看2660。Complete failure to retake the 20-day SMA, now 2 closes in a row below it. 3 closes below the 10-day, 4 closes below the 50-day and 5 below the 100-day.

SPX 季线图

SPY ascending wedge and/or bear channel. It was still a bounce.

NQ Nasdaq potential header and shoulder

BTCUSD 下面可能的几个支撑带：8600-8800， 7600-7800。Wedge 下跌目标: 8300，7600。上面是9200-9400。参考。

SPX vs BTCUSD

BTCUSD 2014 vs 2018

SPX profit prediction looks rosy

SMH for swing long, wait for the breakout of moving average

XLE cup and handle

M is stronger than SPX

TWTR revenue up the strongest over 2 years

COST bull flag

TSLA long over 287

TWLO cup and handle

SPX ROADMAP 4/25 forward. Close under 2635 handle, HWB for April. At minimum, need a higer close tomorrow. For sellers, closed under all SMA’s except 200-day. Have not had 2 consecutive closes <200-day since March 2016 recovering off the Feb 1810 low

200天均线在2607.93，图上的粉色线，能够帮助牛牛吗？

INDU TRAN Dow Theory looks like a death

QQQ monthly — in 2015 it took months of treading in the range before leaving it –2018 could be similar and possible range still undefined

Weekly QQQ pretty clear intermediate lines in sand 152 on bottom and 162 on top.

QQQ slipped under 9/20EMA last Thurs and hasn’t regained it in 4 sessions. Needs to get over 161 to make short-term trend change

SPX monthly

BTCUSD hit a strong resistance

BCHUSD topped?

AAPL Descending channel

BABA bear flag breakdown

WB bear flag breakdown

SINA bear flag breakdown

SQ

本周季报的公司总市值占标普的42%。本周的季报之后的走势基本决定未来一段时间大盘的走势。

SPX half way back: 2635

IWM textbook range bound tape, bouncing between bottom and top of BB

DXY 美元算是突破一个底部

CL target?

SMH 要守住95.98

BTCUSD

ETHBTC possible next target? Or a wedge to fail?

LTCUSD interesting after a potential double top

EOSUSD ATH or a correction handle?

AAPL 跌破自9/2016年以来的长期支撑线

重回200天均线。会测试250天均线吗？

GOOG 在季报引起的短暂的上涨之后，又继续跌势

XOP FB Jeffrey Gundlach, the chief investment officer of Los Angeles-based DoubleLine Capital, used the Sohn Conference in New York to tout the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF and to recommend shorting Facebook Inc. as a relative-value trade.

SAIL wait for the setup

PANWWBAI wait for the breakout

MOMO wait for the breakout

GRUB breakout

M long setup

WBAI short setup with abreakdown

SPY 需要在270.37 0.618fib上下调整之后，才可能再继续上涨。要关注268是不是守得住

QQQ 同样达到0.618 fib的位置，在167.06

BTCUSD at an important resistance (monthly pivot)

LTCUSD becomes interesting, at an important resistance

ETHUSD under the resistance

SNAP long setup

TSLA bull flag below 0.618 fib

AKAM long setup

MU has done well after mentioned in 4/11/18 投资分析, another long setup

BTCUSD looks like in a confirmed downtrend again , forming a perfect Wyckoff Distribution

BTCUSD a possible path

ETHBTC is a good short?

SPY 今天的开盘 2687.44算是今天的高点，下面要看3月21-22号的跳空缺口在2700左右，然后是2718.59

XLK Technology, in the broader context, XLK has held the uptrend in place for almost 3 yrs. Until that breaks, it would be tough to be bearish in that sector generally.

XLE has been on a bull run after the breakout of the range 在 4/10/18 投资分析 一文中提到过

GLUU looks good

UVE good setup with er at 4/24

SRI long setup

ADBE long setup

@TreyRatcliff 北京故宫

SPX COMPQ RUT Here we are year to date

SPX Update: the percent of S&P 500 stocks above their 50-day simple moving average (SMA) begins the week at 38.55%

SPX The valuation reset

SPX Average stock correlations have surged since January this year, higher than the peak in 2008.

SPX 大盘还是看起来岌岌可危，50天均线已经死叉75和100天均线，并且处于overbought的状况

SPX Sept. 30 target from Sam: 2775

BTCUSD Will this be a trend change or another failed attempt?

BTCUSD 这是一张和2014年相比较的熊图

X bear flag?

FEYE long setup

FB death cross is coming