market Stats 2018-04-06
根据以往24个类似日子的数据统计,周一平均跌幅是 -0.3%; 涨的概率是54%,涨的情况下,平均涨幅是1.06%, 跌的概率是46%, 跌的情况下平均跌幅是 -1.82%
学没学过葵花宝典的区别
4/5/18 投资分析
The Great Glen, Scotland Highland Light Photography
SPY 今天介绍一个指标:Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)是一个比较有用的指标。看下面的图,在260-262有比较密集的vwap支撑,而在上面265-270有比较密集的vwap的阻力。说260是牛熊分界线是指下了260要看继续深跌了。因为总统在关税上的发言引起的大跌的底部离260还有距离。
SPY明天的牛熊分界线在263。看下面的option open interest分布。有道是不进则退。不能够前进,这个位置盘整同样会跌下去,因为上方的均线会降下来形成下跌压力。明天的区间是在250-263之间,有put option interest的高点。收在263附近就可以认为下周会继续涨。反之,久盘必跌。
BTCUSD bear options and bull option
LULU what market correction?
NOC
DPZ
AAXN
PVH
M
CLR
CAKE
FEYE
URBN
VIRT
WLL 昨天提到过的
4/4/18 投资分析
明天SPY牛熊分界线260
QQQ was one great ball of fire today. Chart speaks for itself.
SPY broke thru minor resistance, next is resistance btwn 2655-60ish. After that next obvious resistance is downtrend from highs @ roughly 2750 or so (it’s a descending line). Doubt it heads there in a straight line.
SPX had an outside up day on lower than average volume.
SPX Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc warns high yield bonds projecting further market weakness, bear market lasting until August.
BTCUSD 可能路线图
BIDU inverted header and shoulder?
CRM big rally with two price targets
CRM short-term targets
CAT we got the wash
PSTG wait for the beakout
VEEV wait for the breakout
MU nice breakout. Bad news came out during after-hours. Let’s see what’s happening tomorrow.
WLL wait for the breakout
ORBK wait for flag break
M long setup
NTNX Nice action … could benefit from a few more digestion days as it tries to form a bull flag pattern at the 20 Day MA.
VIX PCR 与大盘走势
4/3/2018 投资分析
SPY明天的option open interests分布。明天日内的牛熊分界线是262。牛牛不是很乐观。
VIX up or down?
BPSPX StochRSI still pegged down is still KI bearish. BPSPX itself edged a little lower today.
SPY bias on long? Inside day with lower volume
QQQ can’t forget the Nasdaq, lagging a bit on the indicator but technically in a good spot
DIA diverged?
BTCUSD possible path
LTC up?
TTWO for a bounce?
NKE long?
AAPL watch
JNJ watch
COST watch
BA watch
TSLA might be in the phase of relief rally with sellers backed off for the 2nd day
NFLX bullish divergence
PYPL down
MU possible entry?
Put Call Ratio vs next day return
蓉儿的图
4/2/18 投资分析
@TreyRatcliff Here are the Patronas Twin Towers…
SPX The S&P 500 valuations are back to the early-2016 levels. Are earnings projections way off?
SPX possible positive divergence?
SPX and BTCUSD connected?
SPX following fang
I would have expected VIX to be higher. This sell off has been more of a grind than a panic so far.
VXN Nasdaq 100 VIX Has almost doubled from it’s March lows and close to Febraury highs. More illustative of panic selling than VIX
BTCUSD potential pump and dump?
BTCUSD what if it is the beginning of another bull trend?
FB dead cat bounce coming?