Category Archives: 图形
蓉儿的图
3/21/18 投资分析
Foggy Lake in Finland.
SPY Be honest, would you short this chart? with 5/10/20/50dma right below. I Definitely would not until it loses those support. Flip the chart and you have SPY. Still below these DMAs. Still needs work. No need to get bullish
SPX The pitchfork is formed from the 1982 low to 2000 high to 2009 low. Note that price stopped at the pitchfork’s 38.2 resistance line… which also happens to align with the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (created off the 2007 highs to 2009 lows).
DJI clean failed bounce today at 50% 2018. Has been the laggard for some time.
The “buy the 52-week-high and sell the 20/50 cross” trade ends today after holding DIA for 497 days…
BTCUSD wait for channel breakout
Bitcoin observations BTCUSD
- below 50DMA -green & 200 DMA -black
- close to “death cross” 50 DMA cross below 200DMA
- still below VWAP from peak -red
- below VWAP from 2018 high -orange
- below VWAP from 18 -blue
- below VWAP from 18 low -purple
- above VWAP from March low -brown
WTIC over 100sma is a strong uptrend
JPM long setup, waiting for channel breakout
AMZN long setup
TWOU flag setup with entry at 90.01 and stop at 86.48
3/20/18 投资分析
No gross rotation noted in cryptos but a uniform reversal off lows is welcomed. BTC LTC XMR OMG NEO DASH ETH
SPY sector graph looks very spread out and unorganized. Any move tomorrow either direction will likely take more time to mature and extend.
Here is an update SPX moving average chart. Note how there are 21 more trading days with price increasing on the left side of 50 days. This means the 50dma will roll over quickly at current prices.
RH potential bullish falling wedge with ER on 3/27
MOMO Who doesn’t like the following all in one chart?
– inverse head-and-shoulders breakout
– breakout of a BULL FLAG
– breakout above the 12-month POC
– while recapturing the 200 day sma
AVGO Oh no…another classic Head and Shoulders battle?
FB if this is / has been distribution, then PnF charting gives a downside target range of $138 – $114. Which…is LONG overdue and would be a healthy pullback IMO.
NVDA stacking above the 12-month “value area high.” The location of this consolidation and [Bullish] ascending triangle should get greater attention than others. Nice rising 50-100-200 day averages as well.
GOOS fills a little more gap
Messy daily chart, but INTC looks like it wants to go higher here. No position, but on watch.
3/19/18 投资分析
对牛牛还是很有信心。是上涨前的最后shake up。当然图只是参考。风险要自己控制!
The Connecticut River in Massachusetts. Photo by Matt MacPherson
BTCUSD 路线图并没有变化 先看上涨去9000
NQ Nasdaq emini future
COMPQ test 50 MA
SPX 100 moving average
VIX has spiked from <13.50 to >21.00 in the last 10 trading days (6, actually). Amazingly, this has only happened 9x before now. But how did the NEXT 10 trading days go? Well, in 7 of 9x, SPX was higher 10 days later. Avg 10d draw down -2.2%; worst -5.3%
IWM Hammer off 20/50dma, closing above DTL and inside falling wedge. Watch for b/o and reversal
FSLR monthly – with the month more than halfway thru, I’m watching for this candle to close above resistance…
For all of the negative data that Bears throw at TSLA, they have been able to close it under $300 one time since last May. That can change at any time, but it is what it is for right now.
BIDU BABA Trump threatens China – could be bad for these and BIDU just looks like it’s starting to break down
WYNN looks like a cup and high handle in the form of a falling wedge. Came right to support today too
BA held up strong today in this market
SEDG IBD’s #1 stock held up well today
Let’s hope GS has a good analyst on this one Raised TCEHY target by 22%
3/18/18 投资分析
宋·释普济《五灯会元·文准禅师》:“大道纵横,触事现成。云开日出,水绿山青。”
个人感觉自一月二月以来的大盘的调整和比特币的调整应该都要告一个段落了。
BTCUSD bearish sentiment could mean the bottom is near.
BTCUSD bottomed out at 7310 and recovered 20% in 5 hours with healthy volume that hasn’t be observed for couple of months. We could anticipate it to go to 9125.9, at least. Note that it could go higher after 9125.9. Or, it could go back down to 4968 to finish the downward wedge.
BTCUSD long term is very bright. Though, we don’t have a timeline as when the higher price targets could be met.
Here’s how the S&P500 is tracking against its historical seasonal pattern
Here’s the monthly statistics table for historical average performance. April is the best.
SPX buybacks and dividends
SPY Daily inverted hammer. Look for reversal following 5 straight down days, falling wedge. 20dma and .618fib support below
SPY small inverted hammer at 8 EMA/50 MA with volume showing reversal signals
IWM Backtested and riding 10dma. Inverse H&S intraday setting up for continued move up.
VIX Bouncing Off Broken Post-2015 Down Trendline
ANET Flagging at 10dma
AMZN Falling wedge into 10dma and short term UTL
BAC looks good over 33
MU looks for either a pullback or a flag to get in again
SBUX monthly looks good on breaking out of the box
NVDA looks for going higher after an inside day
SCCO looks good over 55.11
FSLR weekly nearing breakout level in C&H Pattern + eSIX trend. Valid only above breakout level
GOOS breakout with a gap to fill. The breakout is lack of enough volume.
FIVE is waiting for 3/21 earning
BIDU coil with some volume
NTES weekly breakout
ISRG weekly ascending triangle
VEEV nice strong move after break out. Holding up nicely so far
3/15/18 投资分析
Lombard Street at night. (San Francisco). Photo by Gabe Rodriguez.
SPY when yesterdays final volume numbers were tallied, the S&P 500 chalked up its sixth distribution day in only the last 17 sessions.
TNA looks quite similar to IWM which is bullish on the Monthly chart. The Daily chart looks like it wants to retest the horizontal resistance from 72.50-70.50.
BTCUSD The fractal wedge paterns are still holding to formation. The MACD of this 4 hour chart itself is also moving within a contracting set of boundaries. Is a crash scenario more likely or a breakout? I believe the latter; once the pattern is complete.
BTCUSD rice is pretty much sitting on the top white line and this needs to hold as support. IF it is decisively breached, then the second line of support is projecting $3,800 to $4,200 or regions.
JD was notably strong, +1.9% at $44.94. A push >psy’50 looks due, as like BABA, this one might get listed on the Chinese market this summer.
BIDU weekly to go with
WUBA heavy volume bounce after testing prior resistance now support around 80. Still working on its cup base.
3/14/18 投资分析
SPY Falling Wedge pattern in the 10 minute charts, a bounce tomorrow?
SPY 牛熊分界线
NYSE remains stuck under its 50-day Moving Average
BTCUSD Will it go down to 3000?
I don’t think we are done yet, kids. I’m still sticking to my target of $7280 but I think we may bounce at $7,400. Believe me, you’ll know when the bottom is because a giant Green Candle will come out of nowhere and go from you butt out your throat.
Whenever a market gets conditioned to a certain direction and pattern, you should always look for opportunities to trap everyone.
TSLA approaching low point that preceded buy signal. One ATR below that low is $310.
PYPL looks good
CREE bull flag
GE is killing people
BABA nice consolidation around 170-190, long setup
ONCE long setup
CVS on ice
TWTR looks good
SQ weekly
3/13/18 投资分析
SPY will go higher before finishing wave 4.
PANW monthly looks ready to break out
CVX monthly is going higher after backtest
BCH Suddenly a ‘Bcash’ breakout doesn’t sound so bad
BTCUSD Most folks believe that “This is a sucker’s rally”. There was a total loss of faith, we saw that, a lot of voices called for $5000 and some even $1000. We’re past that stage now.
NTNX is going higher with higher volume
LITE needs consolidation
NVDA needs consolidation
3/12/18 投资分析
SPY’s got a chance to record its 10th consecutive positive quarter. Also, should point out that 10 straight would make her black 20 of the last 21. using price only data, SPX climbed 10 straight quarters end Q2 1997…only other instance since 1970. From Q2 1997, SPX increased next 4 quarters too. And she was up – bigly.
DIA digesting under trend-line — breaks up through that and likely new highs.
EEM Getting close to squeezing!
BABA decent follow through on chop type day from Friday trigger
BIDU same thing — decent day considering digestive feeling tape.
JPM Two 40 week sma tests in 2017 Recent new all time highs Two simple lines on a screen can be extremely profitable
MA zero weekly closes below 10 week (50 days) sma since end of 2016 Plently of strong non-techs making new recent highs
PAA Nice move out of the pattern and above the 200 day
ASMB is a nice BULL FLAG to review. Notice how the 8 day ema remains above the 13 day ema and prices trade laterally into the 20 day sma. No volume (supply) at lows then volume begins to expand prior to the breakout.
NTNX weekly update moving on 2x daily volume today. Still time in candle
AAPL is on the path for a trillion dollar market cap
INTC
UPS
MU Looks like it’s trying to beat Musk to Mars
BTCUSD halfway to a three-bottom pattern on 4 hr candle